Journal
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
Volume 33, Issue 10, Pages 4315-4332Publisher
AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0440.1
Keywords
Atmospheric circulation; Dynamics; Drought; Interdecadal variability
Categories
Funding
- National Key R&D Program of China [2016YFA0600701, 2018YFA0606403, 2017YFA0603804]
- Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China [41991283]
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [41875118, 41605059, 41505073]
- CONNECTED - UTFORSK Partnership Program [UTF-2016-long-term/10030]
- Young Talent Support Program by China Association for Science and Technology [2016QNRC001]
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Based on the long-term reanalysis datasets and the multivariate copula method, this study reveals that the frequency of summer hot drought events (SHDEs) over northeastern China (NEC) shows interdecadal variations during 1925-2010. It is revealed that the summer sea surface temperature (SST) over the North Atlantic has a significant positive correlation with the frequency of SHDEs over NEC on the decadal time scale, indicating a potential influence of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). Further analyses indicate that during the positive phases of the AMO, the warming SST over the North Atlantic can trigger a stationary Rossby wave originating from the North Atlantic, which splits into two wave trains propagating along two different routes. One is a zonally orientated wave train that resembles the Silk Road pattern, whereas the other is an arching wave train that resembles the polar-Eurasian pattern. A negative (positive) phase of the Silk Road pattern (polar-Eurasian pattern) may result in the weakened westerly wind along the jet stream, the downward vertical motion, and the anomalous positive geopotential center over NEC, providing favorable conditions for precipitation deficiency and high temperature and resulting in increased SHDEs. Thus, the Silk Road pattern and the polar-Eurasian pattern serve as linkages between the AMO and SHDEs over northeastern China in summer on the interdecadal time scale. Model simulations from CAM4 perturbed with warmer SST in the North Atlantic show precipitation deficiency and high temperature conditions over northeastern China in summer, supporting the potential impacts of the North Atlantic SST on SHDEs over northeastern China. The results suggest that the phase of the AMO should be taken into account in the decadal prediction of SHDEs over northeastern China in summer.
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