Journal
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS
Volume 531, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.121548
Keywords
SIRS epidemic model; Extinction; Stationary distribution; Stochastic perturbation
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Funding
- Natural Science Foundation of China [11661050, 11861044]
- NSF of Gansu Province of China [061707]
- Development Program for HongLiu Outstanding Young Teachers in Lanzhou University of Technology, People's Republic of China [Q201308]
- HongLiu first-class disciplines Development Program of Lanzhou University of Technology, People's Republic of China
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In this paper, a stochastic SIRS model with standard incidence rate and partial temporary immunity is proposed. The sufficient conditions of the extinction and the existence of a stationary probability measure for the disease are established. Our results reveal that random perturbations in the environment can restrain the spread of disease. That is, the deterministic model neglecting random perturbations overestimates the ability of the disease to spread. The numerical simulations are carried out to demonstrate the analytical results. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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