Epidemiology of Chlamydia trachomatis in the Middle East and north Africa: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression

Background The epidemiology of Chlamydia trachomatis in the Middle East and north Africa is poorly understood. We aimed to provide a comprehensive epidemiological assessment of C trachomatis infection in the Middle East and north Africa. Methods We did a systematic review of C trachomatis infection as well as a meta-analysis and meta-regression of C trachomatis prevalence. We searched PubMed and Embase, as well as regional and national databases up to March 13, 2019, using broad search terms with no language or year restrictions. Any document or report including biological measures for C trachomatis prevalence or incidence was eligible for inclusion. We extracted all measures of current (genital or rectal), recent, and ever infection with C trachomatis. We estimated pooled average prevalence in different populations using random-effects meta-analysis. Factors associated with prevalence and sources of between-study heterogeneity were determined using meta-regression. Findings We identified a total of 1531 citations, of which 255 reports contributed to 552 C trachomatis prevalence measures from 20 countries. No incidence measures were identified. Pooled prevalence of current genital infection was 3.0% (95% CI 2.3-3.8) in general populations, 2.8% (1.0-5.2) in intermediate-risk populations, 13.2% (7.2-20.7) in female sex workers, 11.3% (9.0-13.7) in infertility clinic attendees, 12.4% (7.9-17.7) in women with miscarriage, 12.4% (9.4-15.7) in symptomatic women, and 17.4% (12.5-22.8) in symptomatic men. Pooled prevalence of current rectal infection was 7.7% (4.2-12.0) in men who have sex with men. Substantial between-study heterogeneity was found. Multivariable meta-regression explained 29.0% of variation. Population type was most strongly associated with prevalence. Additional associations were found with assay type, sample size, country, and sex, but not with sampling methodology or response rate (about 90% of studies used convenience sampling and >75% had unclear response rate). There was no evidence for temporal variation in prevalence between 1982 and 2018. Interpretation C trachomatis prevalence in the Middle East and north Africa is similar to other regions, but higher than expected given its sexually conservative norms. High prevalence in infertility clinic attendees and in women with miscarriage suggests a potential role for C trachomatis in poor reproductive health outcomes in this region. Copyright (C) 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.