Journal
PHYSICA SCRIPTA
Volume 95, Issue 3, Pages -Publisher
IOP PUBLISHING LTD
DOI: 10.1088/1402-4896/ab495b
Keywords
SIRS epidemic model; stability; hopf bifurcation; delays; optimal control strategy
Categories
Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, China [BK20190836]
- Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China [19KJB110001]
- 18th Batch of Undergraduate Scientific Research Project of Jiangsu University, China [18A295]
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In this paper, a SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate, saturated treatment and two time delays is investigated. Firstly, by using the method of regeneration matrix, we have determined the basic regeneration number R-0 and demonstrated the existence of the positive equilibrium point. The permanence of the SIRS epidemic model is obtained by mathematical analysis. Moreover, by selecting time delay as the bifurcation parameter, we discuss the local asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium point and the existence of Hopf bifurcation for six different situations. Afterwards, to minimize the spread of infectious diseases, we introduce an optimal control technique by the Pontryagin's maximum principle. Finally, we verify the correctness of theoretical analysis through numerical simulations.
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