4.6 Article

A hybrid ensemble learning framework for basketball outcomes prediction

Journal

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.121461

Keywords

Sport science; Basketball outcomes analysis; Team strategy; Ensemble learning

Funding

  1. Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, China [2018A030313291, 2018A030313889]
  2. STU Scientific Research Foundation for Talents [NTF18006]
  3. Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province, China [2016B010124012, 2016B090920095]
  4. Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  5. Natural Science Foundation of China [61703183]

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Basketball outcomes prediction is a vital technique for prospective player arrangement, injury avoidance, telecast right pricing, etc., which requires a understanding of the skill, luck, and other exterior factors of both teams. This paper presents a hybrid ensemble learning framework for basketball outcomes prediction by learning the recent status of the teams. To achieve this, we first design a new weighted combination feature for a future game by considering the latest status of the home team and the visiting team. Then, we present a hybrid ensemble framework equipped with bagging strategy and random subspace method to enlarge the diversity of the samples by learning a series of support vector machines. Finally, we develop a voting mechanism to predict the basketball outcomes. Extensive experiments have demonstrated the outperformance of our framework. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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