Journal
OCEAN ENGINEERING
Volume 186, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.106130
Keywords
Probabilistic ship domain; Big AIS data; Ship collision risk assessment
Funding
- research project Tugboat Scheduling for Large Container Ports - Ministry of Education - Singapore via the Institute of Operations Research and Analytics at National University of Singapore [R726000003646]
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Ship domain plays a critical role in ship traffic risk assessment and safe navigation. Today, the widely available AIS data makes it possible to capture the diverse behaviors of navigators and navigational conditions by vessel trajectories in practice. We propose the novel concept of probabilistic ship domain, which depicts the ship domain boundary as the vague value rather than the crisp value with a forbidden boundary and a desired boundary. We also develop an effective big AIS data driven approach to determine the probabilistic ship domain. We further investigate how to use the probabilistic ship domain to assess ship collision risk. Finally, a few case studies from the Singapore Strait are conducted to show the merits of the probabilistic ship domain and the big MS data driven approach.
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