4.2 Article

MODELLING ZERO-INFLATED COUNT DATA WITH A SPECIAL CASE OF THE GENERALISED POISSON DISTRIBUTION

Journal

ASTIN BULLETIN
Volume 49, Issue 3, Pages 689-707

Publisher

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/asb.2019.26

Keywords

Zero-inflated count data; generalised linear models; generalised Poisson distribution; automobile insurance; fisher-scoring algorithm; randomised quantile residuals

Funding

  1. Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad, Spain [ECO2013-47092]
  2. Ministerio de Economia, Industria y Competitividad, Agencia Estatal de Investigacion, Spain [ECO2017-85577-P]

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A one-parameter version of the generalised Poisson distribution provided by Consul and Jain (1973) is considered in this paper. The distribution is uni- modal with a zero vertex and over-dispersed. A generalised linear model related to this distribution is also presented. Its parameters can be estimated by using a Fisher-Scoring algorithm which is equivalent to iteratively reweighted least squares. Due to its flexibility and capacity to describe highly skewed data with an excessive number of zeros, the model is suitable to be applied in insurance settings as an alternative to the negative binomial and zero-inflated model.

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