Modelling land use/cover change to assess future urban sprawl in Romania

The current paper aims at assessing future urban sprawl in Romania based on predicted land use/cover change (2007-2050) simulated using CLUE-S model (the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small regional extent) and CORINE Land Cover (CLC) database. Given the regional particularities of land use/cover change, the CLUE-S model was applied for each Development Region of Romania (NUTS 2 level). The authors analysed various biophysical and socio-economic explanatory variables associated with the current patterns of urban expansion and assessed future urban sprawl based on historical built-up expansion. The model shows increasing built-up areas mainly in relation to the decreasing in agricultural lands, especially inside and outside the cities limits, with significant differences at the regional level. The results provide support for the decision-makers and local communities in promoting less consumption of land resource and the protection of the environment.

Automated summary

The study assessed future urban sprawl in Romania using the CLUE-S model and CORINE Land Cover database, showing an increase in built-up areas mainly due to a decrease in agricultural lands. The results provide support for decision-makers and local communities in promoting less consumption of land resource and environmental protection.