4.5 Article

Efficient inference and simulation for elliptical Pareto processes

Journal

BIOMETRIKA
Volume 102, Issue 4, Pages 855-870

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/biomet/asv045

Keywords

Censored likelihood; Elliptical extremes; Extremal-t process; Pareto process; Simulation

Funding

  1. Swiss National Science Foundation
  2. project: McSim - French National Research Agency
  3. project: MIRACCLE - French Ministry for Ecology

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Recent advances in extreme value theory have established l-Pareto processes as the natural limits for extreme events defined in terms of exceedances of a risk functional. In this paper we provide methods for the practical modelling of data based on a tractable yet flexible dependence model. We introduce the class of elliptical l-Pareto processes, which arise as the limits of threshold exceedances of certain elliptical processes characterized by a correlation function and a shape parameter. An efficient inference method based on maximizing a full likelihood with partial censoring is developed. Novel procedures for exact conditional and unconditional simulation are proposed. These ideas are illustrated using precipitation extremes in Switzerland.

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