Journal
WETLANDS
Volume 39, Issue 6, Pages 1233-1248Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s13157-019-01151-0
Keywords
Sediment; Deposition; Numerical modeling; Sea level rise; Subsidence; Marsh collapse
Categories
Funding
- Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority
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The ability, or lack thereof, for wetlands in coastal Louisiana to maintain elevation capital has been well documented in the literature to be a function of local and regional factors as well as environmental conditions. The Integrated Compartment Model (ICM) framework developed for the state of Louisiana's Coastal Master Plan models hydrologic, vegetation, and wetland elevation dynamics and captures regional and local dynamics of wetland elevation, inundation and sedimentation processes. It provides insights into the relative sensitivities of wetland evolution to environmental drivers under uncertain future environmental conditions. A systematic, and computationally efficient modeling exercise was conducted to test coastal marsh survival across a wide range of possible future relative sea level rise rate scenarios. Model results indicate a diverse response with respect to sediment deposition and marsh survival driven by regional subsidence rates and proximity to suspended sediment sources. Sediment poor regions of coastal Louisiana are particularly sensitive to relative sea level rise under all but the most optimistic of future sea level rise rates simulated. Coastal marshes with high sediment availability fare much better under most scenarios tested, despite high rates of relative sea level rise.
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