Journal
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
Volume 219, Issue -, Pages 981-993Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.112
Keywords
CO2; Fossil fuel consumption; Total energy consumption; Clean energy; LMDI
Categories
Funding
- Ministry of Education of China [10JBG013]
- China National Social Science Fund [17AZD013]
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CO2 (carbon dioxide) emissions from fossil fuels have turned out one of the most perilous and complex issues driving the climate change debate. The issue of increasing demand for electricity at the same time reducing CO2 emissions has become important worldwide. This study evaluates the CO2 emissions from the power sector of Pakistan during 1978-2017 using Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index technique and scenario analysis. We estimate LMDI to check the change under prearranged elements. According to results, the shift in population, activity effects, and gross domestic product are the essential factors in charge of the increase in CO2 emissions while carbon intensity and energy intensity effects participate in cutting emissions. Finally, scenario analysis found overall activity increases due to population and intensity of CO2 emissions, but carbon intensity could be reduced by using cleaner energy technologies. The findings suggest that CO2 emissions will possibly arrive at 277.9 Mt in 2035 in Pakistan. In relation with the main findings, some targeted policies suggestions are provided. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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