4.6 Article

Long-Term All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Asymptomatic Patients With CAC ≥1,000 Results From the CAC Consortium

Journal

JACC-CARDIOVASCULAR IMAGING
Volume 13, Issue 1, Pages 83-93

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2019.02.005

Keywords

cardiovascular imaging; coronary artery calcium; high risk; primary prevention; risk scoring

Funding

  1. U.S. National Institutes of Health/National Heart Lung and Blood Institute [L30 HL110027]
  2. General Electric

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OBJECTIVES This study thoroughly explored the demographic and imaging characteristics, as well as the all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks of patients with a coronary artery calcium (CAC) score >= 1,000 in the largest dataset of this population to date. BACKGROUND CAC is commonly used to quantify cardiovascular risk. Current guidelines classify a CAC score of >300 or 400 as the highest risk group, yet little is known about the potentially unique imaging characteristics and mortality risk in individuals with a CAC score >= 1,000. METHODS A total of 66,636 asymptomatic adults were included from the CAC consortium, a large retrospective multicenter clinical cohort. Mean patient follow-up was 12.3 +/- 3.9 years for patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary heart disease (CHD), cancer, and all-cause mortality. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for age, sex, and conventional risk factors were used to assess the relative mortality hazard of individuals with CAC >= 1,000 compared with, first, a CAC reference of 0, and second, with patients with a CAC score of 400 to 999. RESULTS There were 2,869 patients with CAC >= 1,000 (86.3% male, mean 66.3 +/- 9.7 years of age). Most patients with CAC >= 1,000 had 4-vessel CAC (mean: 3.5 +/- 0.6 vessels) and had greater total CAC area, higher mean CAC density, and more extracoronary calcium (79% with thoracic artery calcium, 46% with aortic valve calcium, and 21% with mitral valve calcium) than those with CAC scores of 400 to 999. After full adjustment, those with CAC >= 1,000 had a 5.04- (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.92 to 6.48), 6.79- (95% CI: 4.74 to 9.73), 1.55- (95% CI:1.23 to 1.95), and 2.89-fold (95% CI: 2.53 to 3.31) risk of CVD, CHD, cancer, and all-cause mortality, respectively, compared to those with CAC score of 0. The CAC >= 1,000 group had a 1.71- (95% CI: 1.41 to 2.08), 1.84- (95% CI: 1.43 to 2.36), 1.36- (95% CI:1.07 to 1.73), and 1.51-fold (95% CI: 1.33 to 1.70) increased risk of CVD, CHD, cancer, and all-cause mortality compared to those with CAC scores 400 to 999. Graphic analysis of CAC >= 1,000 patients revealed continued logarithmic increase in risk, with no clear evidence of a risk plateau. CONCLUSIONS Patients with extensive CAC (CAC >= 1,000) represent a unique very high-risk phenotype with mortality outcomes commensurate with high-risk secondary prevention patients. Future guidelines should consider CAC >= 1,000 patients to be a distinct risk group who may benefit from the most aggressive preventive therapy. (C) 2020 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

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