A radiomics-based formula for the preoperative prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula in patients with pancreaticoduodenectomy

Objective: The objective of the study was to develop and validate a radiomics-based formula for the preoperative prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Materials and methods: A total of 117 consecutive patients who underwent PD were enrolled in this retrospective study. Radiomics features were extracted from portal venous phase computed tomography of the above patients. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression was used to construct a formula of Rad-score calculation. Then the performance of the formula was assessed with standard pancreatic Fistula Risk Score. Results: The Rad-score could predict POPF with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.8248 in the training cohort and of 0.7609 in the validation cohort. Patients who had experienced POPF generally had a statistically higher Rad-score than those who had not experienced POPF in both cohorts. The AUC of the Rad-score was statistically higher than the Fistula Risk Score for predicting POPF in both the training and validation cohort. Conclusion: A novel radiomics-based formula was developed and validated for predicting POPE: in patients who underwent PD, which provides a new method for identifying POPE: risks and may help to improve informed decision-making in the prevention of POPF at low cost.