Journal
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
Volume 9, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9
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Funding
- United Kingdom Natural Environment Research Council [NE/P01495X/1]
- United Kingdom Government Department of Business Energy and Industrial Strategy grant ADJUST1.5 [NE/P01495X/1]
- Natural Environment Research Council [NE/R00689X/1]
- federal state of Schleswig-Holstein, Germany, within the funding programme Open Access Publikationsfonds
- NERC [NE/R00689X/1] Funding Source: UKRI
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UNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study, we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50% and erosion risk by 13% across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
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