Journal
TRENDS IN PLANT SCIENCE
Volume 24, Issue 3, Pages 199-209Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE LONDON
DOI: 10.1016/j.tplants.2018.11.006
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Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [31570616, 31770516]
- National Key Technology R&D program of China [2017YFA06036001]
- Thousands Talents Program for Young Professionals
- Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs [KB-29-009-003]
- Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China [LQ18C160001]
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In boreal and temperate trees, air temperature is a major environmental factor regulating the timing of spring phenological events, such as vegetative bud burst, through underlying physiological processes. This has been established by experimental research, and mathematical process-based tree phenology models have been developed based on the results. The models have often been applied when assessing the effects of climate change. Currently, there is an increasing trend to develop process-based tree phenology models using only observational phenological records from natural conditions. We point out that this method runs a high risk of producing models that do not simulate the real physiological processes in the trees and discuss experimental designs facilitating the development of biologically realistic process-based models for tree spring phenology.
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