4.8 Article

Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds

Journal

SCIENCE
Volume 362, Issue 6415, Pages 680-+

Publisher

AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/science.aat8695

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Funding

  1. Charles University Grant Agency [GAUK 927516]
  2. Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the Czech Republic [Kontakt II LH 13278]
  3. MSU Zoological Museum [AAAA-A16-116021660077-3]
  4. Royal Society Wolfson Merit Award [NKFIH-2558-1/2015]
  5. Hungarian government [ELVONAL-KKP 126949]

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Ongoing climate change is thought to disrupt trophic relationships, with consequences for complex interspecific interactions, yet the effects of climate change on species interactions are poorly understood, and such effects have not been documented at a global scale. Using a single database of 38,191 nests from 237 populations, we found that shorebirds have experienced a worldwide increase in nest predation over the past 70 years. Historically, there existed a latitudinal gradient in nest predation, with the highest rates in the tropics; however, this pattern has been recently reversed in the Northern Hemisphere, most notably in the Arctic. This increased nest predation is consistent with climate-induced shifts in predator-prey relationships.

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