4.3 Article

Critical value model of sample correlation coefficient after windowed moving average

Journal

JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION
Volume 88, Issue 18, Pages 3681-3693

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/00949655.2018.1531863

Keywords

Time Series; critical value; correlation coefficient; windowed moving average; confidence level; model application

Funding

  1. National Key Research and Development Program of China [2016YFA0400800]
  2. National Natural Science Foundation of China [11203004, 11673023]

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The critical value of correlation coefficient vertical bar r vertical bar(C), which varies with the degree of windowed moving average k, freedom n and confidence xi, is widely accepted to judge the linear relationship between two independent samples X and Y. In order to avoid referring to inconvenient critical value tables or using time-consuming Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, this paper presents a mathematically unified model for calculating the critical value. In this paper, both independent samples X and Y follow the standard normal distribution. We analyse MC result vertical bar r vertical bar(MC) for these samples X, Y to establish the model parameters and then examine the model result vertical bar r vertical bar(MO) for three different astronomical fields to calculate the confidence level xi of sample correlation coefficient vertical bar r vertical bar, which is compared with MC result vertical bar r vertical bar(MC). The results show that the MC results vertical bar r vertical bar(MC) and model results vertical bar r vertical bar(MO) are in exceptionally good agreement, and the applicability of the model to obtain the confidence level xi is satisfactory when calculating the sample correlation coefficient vertical bar r vertical bar for two independent samples X and Y.

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