4.2 Article

The future of health systems to 2030: a roadmap for global progress and sustainability

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR QUALITY IN HEALTH CARE
Volume 30, Issue 10, Pages 823-831

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/intqhc/mzy242

Keywords

international health reform; healthcare systems; appropriate healthcare; patient-centred care; quality improvement; patient safety; patient-based care

Funding

  1. Australian Institute of Health Innovation
  2. National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)
  3. Australian Research Council (ARC)
  4. NHMRC [9100002]
  5. Macquarie University
  6. National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [9100002] Funding Source: NHMRC

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Most research on health systems examines contemporary problems within one, or at most a few, countries. Breaking with this tradition, we present a series of case studies in a book written by key policymakers, scholars and experts, looking at health systems and their projected successes to 2030. Healthcare Systems: Future Predictions for Global Care includes chapters on 52 individual countries and five regions, covering a total of 152 countries. Synthesised, two key contributions are made in this compendium. First, five trends shaping the future healthcare landscape are analysed: sustainable health systems; the genomics revolution; emerging technologies; global demographics dynamics; and new models of care. Second, nine main themes arise from the chapters: integration of healthcare services; financing, economics and insurance; patient-based care and empowering the patient; universal healthcare; technology and information technology; aging populations; preventative care; accreditation, standards, and policy; and human development, education and training. These five trends and nine themes can be used as a blueprint for change. They can help strengthen the efforts of stakeholders interested in reform, ranging from international bodies such as the World Health Organization, the International Society for Quality in Health Care and the World Bank, through to national bodies such as health departments, quality and safety agencies, non-government organisations (NGO) and other groups with an interest in improving healthcare delivery systems. This compendium offers more than a glimpse into the future of healthcare-it provides a roadmap to help shape thinking about the next generation of caring systems, extrapolated over the next 15 years.

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