Journal
SCIENCE ADVANCES
Volume 4, Issue 8, Pages -Publisher
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aau0688
Keywords
-
Categories
Funding
- W.M. Keck Foundation
- NSF [EAR-1135455, EAR-1447094, EAR-130035]
- Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) under NSF Cooperative Agreement [EAR-1033462]
- USGS Cooperative Agreement [G12AC20038]
- Division Of Earth Sciences
- Directorate For Geosciences [1600087] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Seismic hazard models are important for society, feeding into building codes and hazard mitigation efforts. These models, however, rest on many uncertain assumptions and are difficult to test observationally because of the long recurrence times of large earthquakes. Physics-based earthquake simulators offer a potentially helpful tool, but they face a vast range of fundamental scientific uncertainties. We compare a physics-based earthquake simulator against the latest seismic hazard model for California. Using only uniform parameters in the simulator, we find strikingly good agreement of the long-term shaking hazard compared with the California model. This ability to replicate statistically based seismic hazard estimates by a physics-based model cross-validates standard methods and provides a new alternative approach needing fewer inputs and assumptions for estimating hazard.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available