Journal
ALGAL RESEARCH-BIOMASS BIOFUELS AND BIOPRODUCTS
Volume 4, Issue -, Pages 96-104Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.algal.2013.12.003
Keywords
Photobioreactor; Open raceway ponds; Cost of production; Monte Carlo simulation; Farm-level Algae Model (FARM); Net cash income
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Funding
- US Department of Energy [DE-EE0003046, DE-EE0003372]
- Texas AM University
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The Farm-level Algae Risk Model (FARM) is used to simulate the economic feasibility and probabilistic cost of biomass and bio-crude oil production for two projected algae farms. The two farms differ in their cultivation system: an open raceway pond (ORP) and a photobioreactor (PBR). The economic analysis incorporates production, price, and financial risks the farms will likely face over a 10-year period. Current technology for both cultivation systems is assumed with an emphasis on the differences in biomass production, lipid content, culture crashes, and dewatering and extraction costs. Results of the analysis indicated that with current prices and technology neither cultivation system offers a reasonable probability of economic success. The total costs of production for crude bio-oil is 109 $ gal(-1) +/- 45 ((x) over bar,sigma) for an ORP and 77 gal(-1) +/- 25 ((x) over bar, sigma) for a PBR. Further analysis revealed that for every 1% increase in biomass production annual net cash income is increased 0.21% for an ORP and 0.10% for a PBR. (C) 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/).
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