Journal
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
Volume 46, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009464
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When plants are both sensitive to salt levels in the root zone and able to modify the soil salt balance, changes in vegetation cover may affect the local hydrologic conditions and favor the accumulation of salt within different parts of the soil profile. In such cases a salt-vegetation feedback may exist, whereby both a state with vegetation cover, deep water table, and low salinity and a state with sparse or no vegetation, shallow water table, and high salinity can be stable. In this paper, we develop a modeling framework to relate vegetation-soil salinity feedbacks to the emergence of multiple stable states in the underlying dynamics. This model is used to simulate various scenarios involving changes in forcing parameters of salinity-vegetation dynamics using data from the Murray-Darling Basin. Results show the presence of a strong feedback resulting in bistable dynamics for a wide range of environmental conditions, which has the effect of reducing the resilience of plant ecosystems and the productivity of agricultural systems for areas where such a feedback can occur.
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