Journal
TUNNELLING AND UNDERGROUND SPACE TECHNOLOGY
Volume 32, Issue -, Pages 168-179Publisher
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.tust.2012.06.008
Keywords
Urban Underground Space (UUS) use; Demand forecasting; Factors; Correlation research; Regression research
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This paper presents a case study on predicting demand for Urban Underground Space use (UUS) using recent data from Shanghai, China. Building on recent research that quantifies UUS, we analyze the relationship between the amount of UUS and other urbanization factors including population density, annual GDP per capita, and real estate price. Specifically, we utilize multivariate regression analysis with a Box-Cox transformation to construct a predictive model that assesses the demand for underground space in urban districts. The model indicates that population density and GDP per capita both have independent positive predictive power on the density of UUS use. The effect of real estate price is offset by these two factors. This model can serve as a foundation for developing urban master plans as well as conducting future comparative studies. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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