Journal
TRANSPORTATION PLANNING AND TECHNOLOGY
Volume 33, Issue 7, Pages 569-581Publisher
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/03081060.2010.512217
Keywords
air transport demand; Granger causality; multivariate time series; Brazil
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This paper examines the causal relationship between economic growth and domestic air passenger transport in Brazil, using Granger's causality test. Total domestic passenger-kilometres are used as a proxy for air transport demand and gross domestic product as a proxy for economic growth. The test spans the period from 1966 to 2006. The results lead to the acceptance of the hypothesis that there is a unidirectional Granger causal relationship from economic growth to domestic air transport demand in Brazil, having a high elasticity in the short term.
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