4.6 Article

Advances in population synthesis: fitting many attributes per agent and fitting to household and person margins simultaneously

Journal

TRANSPORTATION
Volume 39, Issue 3, Pages 685-704

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11116-011-9367-4

Keywords

Iterative proportional fitting; Population synthesis; Microsimulation; Agent-based; Census microdata; Transportation models; Trip forecasting

Funding

  1. Ontario Graduate Scholarship
  2. Transportation Association of Canada
  3. Transport Canada Transportation Planning and Modal Integration grant

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Agent-based microsimulation models of transportation, land use or other socioeconomic processes require an initial synthetic population derived from census data, conventionally created using the iterative proportional fitting (IPF) procedure. This paper introduces a novel computational method that allows the synthesis of many more attributes and finer attribute categories than previous approaches, both of which are long-standing limitations discussed in the literature. Additionally, a new approach is used to fit household and person zonal attribute distributions simultaneously. This technique was first adopted to address limitations specific to Canadian census data, but could also be useful in U.S. and other applications. The results of each new method are evaluated empirically in terms of goodness-of-fit.

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