Journal
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
Volume 110, Issue 1-2, Pages 281-289Publisher
SPRINGER WIEN
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-012-0634-x
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In this paper, we analyze the Granger causality from natural or anthropogenic forcings to global temperature anomalies. The lag-augmented Wald test is performed, and its robustness is also evaluated considering bootstrap method. The results show there is no-evidence of Granger causality from natural forcings to global temperature. On the contrary, a detectable Granger causality is found from anthropogenic forcings to global temperature confirming that greenhouse gases have an important role on recent global warming.
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