4.5 Article

Inconsistencies of precipitation in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau between surface adjusted data and reanalysis

Journal

THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
Volume 109, Issue 3-4, Pages 485-496

Publisher

SPRINGER WIEN
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-012-0594-1

Keywords

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Funding

  1. Global Change Research Program of China [2010CB951401]
  2. Chinese Academy of Sciences [KZCX2-YW-145]
  3. National Natural Science Foundation of China [40870743]
  4. Alexander von Humboldt Foundation
  5. SSSTC [EG76-032010, EG23-092011]

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The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is the source of many Asian river systems and serves as the Asian water tower. Precipitation variability is a strong component of both hydrological processes and energy cycles, and the study of precipitation in the TP is of great importance in the content of global warming. In this study, the annual and seasonal (spring: MAM; summer: JJA; autumn: SON; and winter: DJF) variations in precipitation are investigated in the eastern and central TP during 1961-2007, based on surface raw and adjusted observations as well as both NCEP/NCAR (1961-2007) and ERA-40 (1961-2001) reanalyses. The adjusted precipitation in the TP is higher than raw values on both the annual and seasonal basis due to adjustments of solid precipitation by a bias experiential model. At the annual spring and winter scales, the adjusted precipitation shows a significant increase calculated by the Mann-Kendall trend test. Compared with adjusted precipitation; both NCEP/NCAR and ERA-40 reanalyses capture the broad spatial distributions of mean annual and seasonal precipitation, but are less good at repeating the decadal variability. Both reanalyses show the drying phenomena in most regions and fail to represent the change patterns of precipitation observed by the adjusted observations. Both NCEP/NCAR and ERA-40 have larger inconsistencies which may be caused by the differences between actual and model topography. This suggests that it is crucial to use the adjusted precipitation in the climate research and reanalysis products should be paid more attention in the TP.

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