Journal
RISK ANALYSIS
Volume 28, Issue 5, Pages 1477-1486Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01090.x
Keywords
attack; contest intensity; defense; game theory; protection; reliability; separation; survivability; vulnerability
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The article considers strategic defense and attack of a system that can be separated into parallel elements. The defender distributes its resource between separation and protecting the elements from outside attacks. The vulnerability of each element is determined by an attacker-defender contest success function, which depends on a contest intensity that may increase or decrease through the separation process. The article determines criteria of separation efficiency for systems without performance redundancy and 1-out-of-N and Q-out-of-N systems with performance redundancy. For the systems with performance redundancy the cases of expected damage proportional to the probability that the demand is not met, and expected damage proportional to the unsupplied demand, are considered.
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