Journal
QUALITY & QUANTITY
Volume 46, Issue 5, Pages 1583-1599Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11135-011-9468-3
Keywords
Electricity consumption; Economic growth; Pakistan; Causality
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The present article uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure to identify the long run equilibrium relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth. Toda Yamamoto and Wald-test causality tests have identified the direction of the causal relationship between these two variables in the case of Pakistan in the period between 1971 and 2008. Ng-Perron and Clement-Montanes-Reyes unit root tests are used to handle the problem of integrating orders for variables. The results suggest that the two variables are in a long run equilibrium relationship and economic growth leads to electricity consumption and not vice versa.
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