4.7 Article

A quantum probability explanation for violations of 'rational' decision theory

Journal

PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
Volume 276, Issue 1665, Pages 2171-2178

Publisher

ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2009.0121

Keywords

Prisoner's Dilemma; quantum probability; decision-making; cognitive science

Funding

  1. ESRC [R000222655]
  2. NIMH [R01 MH068346]
  3. NSF MMS [SES 0753164]
  4. Economic and Social Research Council [RES-000-23-1541] Funding Source: researchfish
  5. ESRC [RES-000-23-1541] Funding Source: UKRI
  6. Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie
  7. Divn Of Social and Economic Sciences [0817965] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

Ask authors/readers for more resources

Two experimental tasks in psychology, the two-stage gambling game and the Prisoner's Dilemma game, show that people violate the sure thing principle of decision theory. These paradoxical findings have resisted explanation by classical decision theory for over a decade. A quantum probability model, based on a Hilbert space representation and Schrodinger's equation, provides a simple and elegant explanation for this behaviour. The quantum model is compared with an equivalent Markov model and it is shown that the latter is unable to account for violations of the sure thing principle. Accordingly, it is argued that quantum probability provides a better framework for modelling human decision-making.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.7
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

No Data Available
No Data Available