4.8 Article

Link between the double-Intertropical Convergence Zone problem and cloud biases over the Southern Ocean

Publisher

NATL ACAD SCIENCES
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1213302110

Keywords

tropical precipitation; model biases; cloud radiative forcing; atmospheric energy transport; general circulation

Funding

  1. National Science Foundation [ATM-0846641, ATM-0936059]
  2. Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences
  3. Directorate For Geosciences [0846641] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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The double-Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) problem, in which excessive precipitation is produced in the Southern Hemisphere tropics, which resembles a Southern Hemisphere counterpart to the strong Northern Hemisphere ITCZ, is perhaps the most significant and most persistent bias of global climate models. In this study, we look to the extratropics for possible causes of the double-ITCZ problem by performing a global energetic analysis with historical simulations from a suite of global climate models and comparing with satellite observations of the Earth's energy budget. Our results show that models with more energy flux into the Southern Hemisphere atmosphere (at the top of the atmosphere and at the surface) tend to have a stronger double-ITCZ bias, consistent with recent theoretical studies that suggest that the ITCZ is drawn toward heating even outside the tropics. In particular, we find that cloud biases over the Southern Ocean explain most of the model-to-model differences in the amount of excessive precipitation in Southern Hemisphere tropics, and are suggested to be responsible for this aspect of the double-ITCZ problem in most global climate models.

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