Journal
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Volume 110, Issue 35, Pages 14266-14271Publisher
NATL ACAD SCIENCES
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1300619110
Keywords
colorectal cancer liver metastasis; glioblastoma multiforme histopathology; contrast CT; patient drug response; mathematical modeling
Categories
Funding
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS) [K12GM088021]
- National Cancer Institute [CA153825]
- NIGMS Grant [P50GM085273]
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke [NS062184]
- Harvey Family Professorship
- Center for Transport Oncophysics Physical Sciences-Oncology Center (CTO PS-OC) Grant [1U54CA143837]
- Texas Center for Cancer Nanomedicine [1U54CA151668]
- USC PS-OC Grant [1U54CA143907]
- Integrative Cancer Biology Program Grant [1U54CA149196]
- University of New Mexico Cancer Center Victor and Ruby Hansen Surface Professorship in Molecular Modeling of Cancer
- NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE [U54CA143907, R25CA153825, U54CA151668, U54CA149196, U54CA143837] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
- NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF GENERAL MEDICAL SCIENCES [P50GM085273, K12GM088021] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
- NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH [R01MH096093] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
- NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF NEUROLOGICAL DISORDERS AND STROKE [R01NS062184] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
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Physical properties of the microenvironment influence penetration of drugs into tumors. Here, we develop a mathematical model to predict the outcome of chemotherapy based on the physical laws of diffusion. The most important parameters in the model are the volume fraction occupied by tumor blood vessels and their average diameter. Drug delivery to cells, and kill thereof, are mediated by these microenvironmental properties and affected by the diffusion penetration distance after extravasation. To calculate parameter values we fit the model to histopathology measurements of the fraction of tumor killed after chemotherapy in human patients with colorectal cancer metastatic to liver (coefficient of determination R-2 = 0.94). To validate the model in a different tumor type, we input patient-specific model parameter values from glioblastoma; the model successfully predicts extent of tumor kill after chemotherapy (R-2 = 0.7-0.91). Toward prospective clinical translation, we calculate blood volume fraction parameter values from in vivo contrast-enhanced computed tomography imaging from a separate cohort of patients with colorectal cancer metastatic to liver, and demonstrate accurate model predictions of individual patient responses (average relative error = 15%). Here, patient-specific data from either in vivo imaging or histopathology drives output of the model's formulas. Values obtained from standard clinical diagnostic measurements for each individual are entered into the model, producing accurate predictions of tumor kill after chemotherapy. Clinical translation will enable the rational design of individualized treatment strategies such as amount, frequency, and delivery platform of drug and the need for ancillary non-drug-based treatment.
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