4.6 Article

Forbidden patterns, permutation entropy and stock market inefficiency

Journal

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS
Volume 388, Issue 14, Pages 2854-2864

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.03.042

Keywords

Forbidden patterns; Permutation entropy; Stock market inefficiency

Funding

  1. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas (CONICET), Argentina
  2. CNPq foundation
  3. Comision Nacional de lnvestigacion Cientifica y Tecnologica (CONICYT, FONDECYT), Chile [11060512]
  4. Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso (PUCV) [123.788/2007]
  5. Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence in Bioinformatics, Australia

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In this paper we introduce two new quantifiers for the stock market inefficiency: the number of forbidden patterns and the normalized permutation entropy. They are model-independent measures, thus they have more general applicability. We find robust evidence that degree of market inefficiency is positively correlated with the number of forbidden patterns and negatively correlated with the permutation entropy. Our empirical results suggest that these two physical tools are useful to discriminate the stage of stock market development and can be easily implemented. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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