4.6 Article

Visibility graph approach to exchange rate series

Journal

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS
Volume 388, Issue 20, Pages 4431-4437

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.07.016

Keywords

Time series analysis; Exchange rate series; Complex network

Funding

  1. National Science Foundation of China [70571074, 10635040]
  2. Shanghai leading discipline [S30501]

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By means of a visibility graph, we investigate six important exchange rate series. It is found that the series convert into scale-free and hierarchically structured networks. The relation ship between the scaling exponents of the degree distributions and the Hurst exponents obeys the analytical prediction for fractal Brownian motions. The visibility graph can be used to obtain reliable values of Hurst exponents of the series. The characteristics are explained by using the multifractal structures of the series. The exchange rate of EURO to Japanese Yen is widely used to evaluate risk and to estimate trends in speculative investments. Interestingly. the hierarchies of the visibility graphs for the exchange rate series of these two currencies are significantly weak compared with that of the other series. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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