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Evolutionary rescue beyond the models

Publisher

ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0093

Keywords

eco-evolutionary models; environmental change; absolute fitness; population growth; genetic variation; aster models

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Funding

  1. US National Science Foundation [DEB-0919376, DEB-0544970]
  2. Division Of Environmental Biology
  3. Direct For Biological Sciences [0919376, 1142784, 1051791] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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Laboratory model systems and mathematical models have shed considerable light on the fundamental properties and processes of evolutionary rescue. But it remains to determine the extent to which these model-based findings can help biologists predict when evolution will fail or succeed in rescuing natural populations that are facing novel conditions that threaten their persistence. In this article, we present a prospectus for transferring our basic understanding of evolutionary rescue to wild and other non-laboratory populations. Current experimental and theoretical results emphasize how the interplay between inheritance processes and absolute fitness in changed environments drive population dynamics and determine prospects of extinction. We discuss the challenge of inferring these elements of the evolutionary rescue process in field and natural settings. Addressing this challenge will contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of population persistence that combines processes of evolutionary rescue with developmental and ecological mechanisms.

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