Journal
NATURE GEOSCIENCE
Volume 3, Issue 11, Pages 756-761Publisher
NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/NGEO979
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Surface winds have declined in China, the Netherlands, the Czech Republic, the United States and Australia over the past few decades(1-4). The precise cause of the stilling is uncertain. Here, we analyse the extent and potential cause of changes in surface wind speeds over the northern mid-latitudes between 1979 and 2008, using data from 822 surface weather stations. We show that surface wind speeds have declined by 5-15 % over almost all continental areas in the northern mid-latitudes, and that strong winds have slowed faster than weak winds. In contrast, upper-air winds calculated from sea-level pressure gradients, and winds from weather reanalyses,exhibited no such trend. Changes in atmospheric circulation that are captured by reanalysis data explain 10-50 % of the surface wind slowdown. In addition, mesoscale model simulations suggest that an increase in surface roughness-the magnitude of which is estimated from increases in biomass and land-use change in Eurasia-could explain between 25 and 60 % of the stilling. Moreover, regions of pronounced stilling generally coincided with regions where biomass has increased over the past 30 years, supporting the role of vegetation increases in wind slowdown.
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