Journal
NATURAL HAZARDS
Volume 67, Issue 2, Pages 879-900Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0614-1
Keywords
Drought hazard; Comprehensive index; Copula; Huaibei Plain
Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [71020107026, 71273081, 51109052]
- National Basic Research Program of China [2012CB955704]
- Ministry of Water Resources of China (Research on National Drought Zoning and Drought Disaster Risk Assessment)
- Opening Foundation of Chengdu Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration [LMP2011002]
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In recent decades, risk management is significant to mitigate the severe status caused by droughts. As one of the primary components in risk analysis, drought hazard analysis is basic but important. In this paper, the framework of drought risk analysis and the methodology for drought hazard analysis are presented, and Huaibei Plain of China is chosen as the study area. The whole study region is divided into three parts (northern, central, and southern) by geographical factors, and a developed index named drought comprehensive Z index (DCZI) containing hydrological and meteorological factors is employed for drought hazard analysis in each area. By comparison, it implicates that DCZI is applicable for Huaibei Plain and indicates drought extent more objectively. Moreover, the results of drought hazard analysis reflect that the northern area is affected by droughts more seriously. As for the whole region, there is a great probability of severe drought. Finally, some policy recommendations on drought management are also made.
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