Journal
NATURAL HAZARDS
Volume 49, Issue 3, Pages 421-436Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-008-9262-2
Keywords
Typhoon disaster; Multivariate Compound Extreme Value Distribution; Prediction; Prevention criteria
Funding
- National Natural Foundation of China [50679076]
- Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters P. R. China [20060120]
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Typhoon-induced disaster is one of the most important factors influencing the economic development and more than 250 million in China. In view of the existing state of typhoon disaster prediction, prevention, and mitigation, this paper proposes a new probability model, Multivariate Compound Extreme Value Distribution (MCEVD), to predict typhoon-induced extreme disaster events. This model establishes prevention criteria for coastal areas, offshore structures, and estuarine cities, and provides an appropriate mitigation scheme for disaster risk management and decision-making.
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