CK-19 mRNA-positive cells in peripheral blood predict treatment efficacy and survival in small-cell lung cancer patients

Small-cell lung caner (SCLC) is the most aggressive form of lung cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the presence of cytokeratin-19 (CK-19) mRNA-positive circulating tumor cells (CTCs) predicts treatment response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in SCLC patients who received standard therapy. Fifty-five SCLC patients were enrolled in this single-center prospective study. CK-19 mRNA-positive CTCs in blood samples were detected using real-time quantitative-PCR assay before the initiation of chemotherapy (B0) and after one chemotherapy cycle (B1) and three chemotherapy cycles (B3). The association with known prognostic factors and the effect of CK-19 mRNA-positive CTCs on patients' prognosis were analyzed. Patients with positivity for CK-19 mRNA-positive CTCs at B0, B1, and B3 time points had shorter PFS and OS compared with patients without (P = 0.014 and P = 0.01, respectively, at B0; P = 0.008 and P = 0.002, respectively, at B1; P = 0.003 and P = 0.001, respectively, at B3). Conversion of initial positivity for CK-19 mRNA-positive CTCs to negativity at B1 and B3 time points was associated with longer PFS and OS compared with patients with persistent positivity at three time points (P = 0.008 and P = 0.010, respectively). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the presence of CK-19 mRNA-positive CTCs at B0, B1, and B3 time points remained strong predictors of PFS and OS after adjustment for clinically significant factors. In conclusion, detection of CK-19 mRNA-positive CTCs before and during chemotherapy is an accurate indication of subsequent disease progression and mortality for SCLC patients.