4.7 Article

Improvements in wind speed forecasts for wind power prediction purposes using Kalman filtering

Journal

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jweia.2008.03.013

Keywords

Wind speed forecasting; Kalman filtering; Wind power forecasting

Funding

  1. European Projects ANEMOS [ENK5-CT-2002-00665]
  2. POW'WOW (Prediction Of Waves, Wakes and Offshore Wind) [019898(SES6)]

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This paper studies the application of Kalman filtering as a post-processing method in numerical predictions of wind speed. Two limited-area atmospheric models have been employed, with different options/capabilities of horizontal resolution, to provide wind speed forecasts. The application of Kalman filter to these data leads to the elimination of any possible systematic errors, even in the lower resolution cases, contributing further to the significant reduction of the required CPU time. The potential of this method in wind power applications is also exploited. In particular, in the case of wind power prediction, the results obtained showed a remarkable improvement in the model forecasting skill. (C) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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