4.4 Article

Prediction model of interval grey number based on DGM(1,1)

Journal

JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS ENGINEERING AND ELECTRONICS
Volume 21, Issue 4, Pages 598-603

Publisher

SYSTEMS ENGINEERING & ELECTRONICS, EDITORIAL DEPT
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-4132.2010.04.011

Keywords

grey system theory; prediction model; interval grey number; grey number band; grey number layer; DGM(1,1) model

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [70840012, 90924022]
  2. Ph.D. Thesis Innovation and Excellent Foundation of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics

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In grey system theory, the studies in the field of grey prediction model are focused on real number sequences, rather than grey number ones. Hereby, a prediction model based on interval grey number sequences is proposed. By mining the geometric features of interval grey number sequences on a two-dimensional surface, all the interval grey numbers are converted into real numbers by means of certain algorithm, and then the prediction model is established based on those real number sequences. The entire process avoids the algebraic operations of grey number, and the prediction problem of interval grey number is usefully solved. Ultimately, through an example's program simulation, the validity and practicability of this novel model are verified.

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