Improving T-cell Immunotherapy for Melanoma Through a Mathematically Motivated Strategy: Efficacy in Numbers?

T-cell mediated immunotherapy for malignant diseases has become an effective treatment option, especially in malignant melanoma. Recent advances have enabled the transfer of high T-cell numbers with high functionality. However, with more T cells becoming technically available for transfer, questions about dose, treatment schedule, and safety become most relevant. Mathematical oncology can simulate tumor characteristics in silico and predict the tumor response to novel therapeutics. Using similar methods to classical pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics-type models, mathematical oncology translates the findings into a multiparameter model system and simulates T-cell therapy for malignant diseases. The tumor and immune system dynamics model can provide minimal requirements (in terms of T-cell dose and T-cell functionality) depending on the tumor characteristics (growth rate, residual tumor size) for a clinical study, and help select the best treatment schedule (repetitive doses, minimally required duration, etc.). Here, we present a new mathematical model developed for modeling cellular immunotherapy for melanoma. Computer simulations based on the new model offer an explanation for the observed finding from clinical trials that the patients with the smallest tumor load respond better. We simulate different parameters critical for improvement of cellular therapy for patients with high tumor load of fast-growing tumors. We show that tumor growth rate and tumor load are crucial in predicting the outcome of T-cell therapy. Rather than intuitively extrapolating from experimental data, we demonstrate how mathematical oncology can assist in rational planning of clinical trials.