Journal
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
Volume 26, Issue 6, Pages 1901-1925Publisher
AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00416.1
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Funding
- National Science Foundation
- Office of Science (BER) of the U.S. Department of Energy
- Office of Science (BER) of the Department of Energy [DE-AC05-00OR22725]
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Results are presented from the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) at the standard 18 resolution, the same resolution as the majority of the CCSM4 CMIP5 long-term simulations for the historical and future projection scenarios. The forcings and boundary conditions for this simulation follow the protocols of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project, version 3 (PMIP3). Two additional CCSM4 CO2 sensitivity simulations, in which the concentrations are abruptly changed at the start of the simulation to the low 185 ppm LGM concentrations (LGMCO(2)) and to a quadrupling of the preindustrial concentration (4xCO(2)), are also analyzed. For the full LGM simulation, the estimated equilibrium cooling of the global mean annual surface temperature is 5.5 degrees C with an estimated radiative forcing of -6.2 W m(-2). The radiative forcing includes the effects of the reduced LGM greenhouse gases, ice sheets, continental distribution with sea level lowered by approximately 120 m from the present, and orbital parameters, but not changes to atmospheric aerosols or vegetation biogeography. The LGM simulation has an equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) of 3.1(+/-0.3)degrees C, comparable to the CCSM4 4xCO(2) result. The LGMCO(2) simulation shows a greater ECS of 4.2 degrees C. Other responses found at the LGM in CCSM4 include a global precipitation rate decrease at a rate of similar to 2% degrees C-1, similar to climate change simulations in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4); a strengthening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) with a shoaling of North Atlantic Deep Water and a filling of the deep basin up to sill depth with Antarctic Bottom Water; and an enhanced seasonal cycle accompanied by reduced ENSO variability in the eastern Pacific Ocean's SSTs.
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