Journal
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
Volume 24, Issue 2, Pages 509-521Publisher
AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3808.1
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Funding
- NSF [ATM-0754029]
- NSFC [40805040, GYHY200806009]
- Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC)
- NASA
- NOAA through International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa
- Directorate For Geosciences
- Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences [0754039] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
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This study attempts to understand contributions of ENSO and the boreal summer sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the East Indian Ocean (EIO) to the interannual variability of tropical cyclone (TC) frequency over the western North Pacific (WNP) and the involved physical mechanisms. The results show that both ENSO and EIO SSTA have a large control on the WNP TC genesis frequency, but their effects are significantly different. ENSO remarkably affects the east-west shift of the mean genesis location and accordingly contributes to the intense TC activity. The EIO SSTA affects the TC genesis in the entire genesis region over the WNP and largely determines the numbers of both the total and weak TCs. ENSO modulates the large-scale atmospheric circulation and barotropic energy conversion over the WNP, contributing to changes in both the TC genesis location and the frequency of intense TCs. The EIO SSTA significantly affects both the western Pacific summer monsoon and the equatorial Kelvin wave activity over the western Pacific, two major large-scale dynamical controls of TC genesis over the WNP. In general the warm (cold) EIO SSTA suppresses (promotes) the TC genesis over the WNP. Therefore, a better understanding of the combined contributions of ENSO and EIO SSTA could help improve the seasonal prediction of the WNP TC activity.
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