Journal
NATURAL HAZARDS
Volume 78, Issue 3, Pages 1961-1978Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-1813-8
Keywords
Support vector classifier; Artificial bee colony; Machine learning; Typhoon-induced slope collapse
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This research proposes a novel bee colony optimized support vector classifier (BeeSVC) for predicting typhoon-induced slope collapses. The BeeSVC employs the support vector classifier (SVC) as a machine learning method to classify a slope into two classes: stable slope and collapsed slope. Furthermore, the artificial bee colony algorithm is used as a metaheuristic to determine the hyper-parameters of the SVC appropriately. The contribution of the proposed method to the body of knowledge is multifold. First, the combined framework of the BeeSVC allows the assessment process to be operated automatically. Second, since the number of the collapsed class occupied more than 70 % of the historical cases, a repeated random sub-sampling procedure with the Student's t test is put forward to alleviate the class-imbalanced problem and reliably evaluate the model performance. Third, the mutual information between the input features and the slope performance is employed to reflect the contribution of each feature to the slope failure. Lastly, the superior performance has proved that the BeeSVC can be a very effective tool for decision-makers to forecast typhoon-induced slope collapses.
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