4.6 Article

Examining the links among economic growth, energy consumption, and CO2 emission with linear and nonlinear causality tests

Journal

NATURAL HAZARDS
Volume 81, Issue 2, Pages 1147-1159

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-2124-9

Keywords

Economic growth; Energy consumption; CO2 emission; China; Linear and nonlinear causality tests

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [71201010, 71303174, 71473180]
  2. National Philosophy and Social Science Foundation of China [14AZD068, 15ZDA054]
  3. Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Talents of Guangdong [2014A030306031]
  4. Distinguished Young Teachers of Guangdong [(2014)145]
  5. High-level Personnel Project of Guangdong [(2013)246]
  6. Guangzhou key base of humanities and social science-Centre for Low Carbon Economic Research

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Understanding the causal relationships among economic growth, energy consumption, and CO2 emission is important for formulating energy conservation and emission reduction policies. In this paper, we explore the causal relationships among economic growth, energy consumption, and CO2 emission in China during 1978-2012 by using both the linear and nonlinear causality tests. The obtained results show that the links examined by the linear and nonlinear causality tests are not all same. Both linear and nonlinear causality tests indicate a unidirectional causality from CO2 emission to GDP and a bi-directional causality between energy consumption and CO2 emission. Linear causality test indicates a unidirectional causality from energy consumption to GDP, while nonlinear causality test indicates a unidirectional causality from GDP to energy consumption. Finally, policy recommendations are proposed for achieving the target of coordinated, sustainable development of China.

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