Demographic variability in monkeys: Implications for theory and conservation

Demographic parameters of nonhuman primates, like those of all other organisms, vary over time and space. However, many contemporary models comparing multiple species treat these parameters as if they were static. Population density, group size, age-sex composition, natality, and juvenile recruitment all vary considerably within populations that researchers have studied for many years. It is important to describe and to understand the variance not only for the development of more realistic models but also to clarify the status and trends of the populations in order to develop effective conservation management plans. A critical issue is to distinguish real demographic trends from the natural demographic variation that occurs both between sites and within specific sites over time. With few exceptions, demographic data for most nonhuman primates are not amenable to life-table analyses because observation conditions typically prevent collection of the data required and generation time is long. Instead, one must evaluate demographic indices that serve as surrogates for more detailed and accurate data, such as that derived from life-time observations of recognizable individuals of known parentage. Long-term monitoring is essential to understand the extent of and trends in demographic variation. These points are exemplified with case studies from vervets, red howlers, and red colobus as they relate to the likely causal factors of habitat quality, disease, predator-prey imbalance, population compression, and intragroup competition for food.