4.6 Article

Rainfall variability and the trends of wet and dry periods in Bangladesh

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
Volume 30, Issue 15, Pages 2299-2313

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/joc.2053

Keywords

rainfall trends; standardised precipitation index; extreme events; climate change; geographical information system; Bangladesh

Funding

  1. Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, Germany

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Spatial patterns of annual and seasonal rainfall trends of Bangladesh over the time period 1958-2007 has been assessed using rainfall data recorded at 17 stations distributed over the country. Mann-Kendall trend test and the Sen's slope method are used to detect the significance and the magnitude of rainfall change, respectively. Historical dry and wet months are identified by using standardised precipitation index method and their trends are analysed to assess the possible change in wet and dry events in Bangladesh. The result shows a significant increase in the average annual and pre-monsoon rainfall of Bangladesh. The number of wet months is found to increase and the dry months to decrease in most parts of the country. Seasonal analysis of wet and dry months shows a significant decrease of dry months in monsoon and pre-monsoon. Copyright (C) 2009 Royal Meteorological Society

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