4.0 Article

Optimal budget allocation for discrete-event simulation experiments

Journal

IIE TRANSACTIONS
Volume 42, Issue 1, Pages 60-70

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
DOI: 10.1080/07408170903116360

Keywords

Discrete-event simulation; simulation optimization; simulation uncertainty

Funding

  1. Department of Energy [DE-SC0002223]
  2. National Science Council of the Republic of China [NSC 95-2811-E-002-009]
  3. NSF [IIS-0325074]
  4. NASA Ames Research Center [NAG-2-1643, NNA05CV26G]
  5. FAA [00-G-016]

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Simulation plays a vital role in analyzing discrete-event systems, particularly in comparing alternative system designs with a view to optimizing system performance. Using simulation to analyze complex systems, however, can be both prohibitively expensive and time-consuming. Effective algorithms to allocate intelligently a computing budget for discrete-event simulation experiments are presented in this paper. These algorithms dynamically determine the simulation lengths for all simulation experiments and thus significantly improve simulation efficiency under the constraint of a given computing budget. Numerical illustrations are provided and the algorithms are compared with traditional two-stage ranking-and-selection procedures through numerical experiments. Although the proposed approach is based on heuristics, the numerical results indicate that it is much more efficient than the compared procedures.

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