4.6 Article

Flood changes during the past 50 years in Wujiang River, South China

Journal

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
Volume 26, Issue 23, Pages 3561-3569

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8451

Keywords

trend analysis; change points; Mann-Kendall test; wavelet analysis

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [50839005, 51190091, 41001019]
  2. National Basic Research Program of China [2010CB428405]
  3. Natural Science Foundation of Guandong Province, China [S2011040005992]
  4. Foundation for Distinguished Young Talents in Higher Education of Guangdong, China
  5. CSIRO Computation and Simulation Sciences-Transformational Capability Program

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Changing trends of peak flood and flood duration in the Wujiang River Basin are detected with the help of the MannKendall test and the Pettitt analysis during the past 50?years. Results indicate that the peak flood and the flood duration at Lishi Station have different changing features. The peak flood showed only marginally increasing trend, whereas the flood duration exhibited decreasing trend at the significance level of 90%. The result shows a weak positive correlation between the peak flood and the flood duration. The changes of flood duration are influenced by the total rainfall duration, which is in downward trend at significance level 90%. In addition, the changing trends of peak flood are similar to the total rainfall amount. In the change-point analysis, it was found that the change points for the peak flood and flood duration series were in the years 1993 and 1966, respectively. Human activities such as the construction of reservoirs were the main driving forces causing the change of flood duration. The periodicity of the peak flood during the period 19552007 at Lishi Station is detected by using the wavelet analysis. The result indicates that the peak flood at Lishi Station displayed alternation between big floods and small floods on the 25- to 26-year period. At the same timescale, the peak flood of Wujiang River showed an evidence of change between big floods and small floods. It was essential to be prepared and aware of the consequences of climate changes and human influences affecting the water resources in the Wujiang River Basin. This result is expected to draw more attention from the local governments in its decision making and water resource management. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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